Ahead of their head-to-head in the final round of the Nations League group stage, both the Bulgaria national team and the Belarus national team have a chance of reaching the playoffs. The Bulgarian side need only a draw against their opponents, while the Belarus side require a victory, being two points behind their rivals.
Following a painful setback against Northern Ireland (5:0), Bulgaria scraped a narrow win over Luxembourg (1:0). They subdued their opponent's attacking fervour after an early goal by Bozhidar Kraev, managing a mere 0.27 xG over 90 minutes. A major concern for the coaching staff will be the absence of Kiril Despodov against Belarus due to the captain’s suspension from accumulated yellow cards.
In nine matches in 2024, Belarus found the net in only two games. In Belfast, they valiantly held the first half (1-4 in shots) but conceded to Northern Ireland from a corner early in the second half (0:2). Over 90 minutes, Belarus generated only 0.35 xG, while introductions from the bench like Dmitriy Antilevski, Maks Ebong, and Nikita Demchenko failed to invigorate the attack. The Belarus side are expected to struggle again in Sofia away from home.
In the first round of the Nations League, Bulgaria and Belarus played out an unremarkable 0:0 draw. The reverse fixture is also likely to leave fans wanting for goals, as both teams will be wary of taking risks.